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Jaylen Wright

Jaylen Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jaylen Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1150/-7250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -7250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.4 per game) since the start of last season.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Dolphins profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Jets defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to running backs: 0.05 per game since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the anemic New York Jets run defense has been torched for a massive 1.25 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

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