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Jaylen Wright

Jaylen Wright Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Wright Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -14.5-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are massive underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 10th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 41.8% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Dolphins to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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