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Jaylen Warren Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Jaylen Warren Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+138/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +136 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.

The projections expect Jaylen Warren to be a less important option in his offense's run game near the goal line in this week's contest (72.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (88.2% in games he has played).

The predictive model expects Jaylen Warren to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (11.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 49.0% rate of running the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL in this setting has been the Steelers.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.

The Packers defense has conceded the fewest receiving TDs in the league to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.

More Jaylen Warren Player Props

Jaylen Warren TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Jaylen Warren Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8