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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+108/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Jaylen Warren's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 89.6% to 96.2%.
  • Jaylen Warren grades out in the 76th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.10 per game.
  • This year, the poor Bears defense has been gouged for a massive 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Among all RBs, Jaylen Warren grades out in the 96th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, comprising 71.0% of the usage in his offense's ground game near the goal line.
  • When it comes to air yards, Jaylen Warren ranks in the lowly 7th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.

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