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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Jaylen Warren to notch 15.9 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • After making up 25.6% of his team's rush attempts last year, Jaylen Warren has been more involved in the run game this year, currently taking on 67.5%.
  • Jaylen Warren has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).
  • Jaylen Warren ranks as one of the best running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.40 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 79th percentile.
  • The Colts linebackers project as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 38.6% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 96.0 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

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