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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this contest, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.1 carries.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (66.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (25.6%).
  • Jaylen Warren has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).
  • Jaylen Warren profiles as one of the best RBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.63 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 8th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • This year, the strong Packers run defense has allowed a meager 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the fewest in football.

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