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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-107/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • This week, Jaylen Warren is predicted by the model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.4 rush attempts.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (69.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (25.6%).
  • With an outstanding total of 37.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (78th percentile), Jaylen Warren rates as one of the leading RBs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers this year (only 48.8 per game on average).
  • With a very bad rate of 3.42 adjusted yards per carry (18th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren places as one of the bottom pure runners in the league at the position.
  • This year, the porous Cleveland Browns run defense has allowed a colossal 3.09 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 32nd-highest rate in the league.
  • The Cleveland Browns defensive ends project as the best DE corps in football this year with their run defense.

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