Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 12, 2025 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-107/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
This week, Jaylen Warren is predicted by the model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.4 rush attempts.
Jaylen Warren has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (69.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (25.6%).
With an outstanding total of 37.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (78th percentile), Jaylen Warren rates as one of the leading RBs in football this year.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
The 2nd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers this year (only 48.8 per game on average).
With a very bad rate of 3.42 adjusted yards per carry (18th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren places as one of the bottom pure runners in the league at the position.
This year, the porous Cleveland Browns run defense has allowed a colossal 3.09 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 32nd-highest rate in the league.
The Cleveland Browns defensive ends project as the best DE corps in football this year with their run defense.

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