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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-109/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the model to land in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.5 rush attempts.

Jaylen Warren has been a more important option in his team's ground game this season (69.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.6%).

Jaylen Warren has averaged 37.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in football when it comes to running backs (77th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 39.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per snap.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Since the start of last season, the stout Vikings run defense has given up a measly 95.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 3rd-best in the NFL.

The Minnesota defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best DT corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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