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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Jaylen Warren to notch 14.4 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
  • Jaylen Warren has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (58.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (25.6%).
  • Jaylen Warren's 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a remarkable progression in his rushing talent over last season's 33.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to run on 39.3% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • The opposing side have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 89.0 per game) versus the Houston Texans defense this year.
  • The Texans safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

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