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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • After taking on 25.6% of his team's run game usage last season, Jaylen Warren has been more involved in the ground game this season, now accounting for 58.3%.
  • Jaylen Warren's 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a meaningful boost in his rushing ability over last season's 33.0 figure.
  • Jaylen Warren checks in as one of the leading RBs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.24 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 78th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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