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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • After comprising 25.6% of his offense's carries last season, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, now making up 59.6%.
  • Jaylen Warren's 46.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a substantial gain in his running ability over last season's 33.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 34.7% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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