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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-107/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect Jaylen Warren to accumulate 14.6 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • After making up 25.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, now making up 63.2%.
  • Jaylen Warren's 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful growth in his running ability over last year's 33.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects the Steelers to be the 6th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • The Baltimore defensive tackles profile as the 5th-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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