My Account Log Out
 
 
Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.8 rush attempts.
  • After making up 25.6% of his offense's run game usage last season, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the running game this season, currently making up 65.8%.
  • Jaylen Warren's 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a substantial improvement in his rushing ability over last year's 33.0 rate.
  • Jaylen Warren checks in as one of the leading RBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.24 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 78th percentile.
  • This year, the porous Buffalo Bills run defense has yielded a staggering 150.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 2nd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.57 seconds per play given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a mere 46.3 per game on average).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™