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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+110/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Jaylen Warren to garner 16.4 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jaylen Warren has been much more involved in his team's run game this year (65.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (25.6%).
  • Jaylen Warren's 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a meaningful boost in his rushing skills over last season's 33.0 rate.
  • With an outstanding tally of 3.24 yards after contact (78th percentile), Jaylen Warren ranks as one of the most effective running backs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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