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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to notch 16.8 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • After making up 25.6% of his offense's run game usage last season, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the run game this season, now making up 68.8%.
  • Jaylen Warren's 47.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a significant progression in his running proficiency over last year's 33.0 mark.
  • This year, the stout Chargers run defense has surrendered a feeble 4.89 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 25th-smallest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 38.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Steelers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

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