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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • This week, Jaylen Warren is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 85th percentile among running backs with 4.2 targets.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 13.0% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jaylen Warren rates as one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging an impressive 2.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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