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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Jaylen Warren to earn 3.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a top-tier 11.0% Target% (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaylen Warren rates among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football.

Jaylen Warren ranks as one of the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 2.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Jaylen Warren's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 89.7% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

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