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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jaylen Warren rates in the 85th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 16.3 figure since the start of last season.

Jaylen Warren checks in as one of the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 2.5 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

Jaylen Warren is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching an excellent 90.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Seahawks defense has allowed a paltry 80.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 9th-best rate in football.

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