My Account Log Out
 
 
Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-166/+148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -168 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • With an outstanding 2.2 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren places as one of the best RB receiving threats in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Jaylen Warren's 10.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 16.7.
  • The Texans pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.3%) vs. running backs this year (78.3%).
  • The Texans safeties rank as the 9th-best safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™