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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Jaylen Warren is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 80th percentile among RBs with 3.2 targets.
  • With an exceptional 9.3% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren ranks among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Jaylen Warren comes in as one of the top pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 2.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.
  • Jaylen Warren's 94.2% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a remarkable boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 89.5% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.

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