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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -147.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 9.8% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • Jaylen Warren rates as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 2.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
  • Jaylen Warren's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 89.6% to 96.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

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