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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-113/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The model projects Jaylen Warren to garner 4.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.
  • Jaylen Warren has accumulated a feeble -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 22nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jaylen Warren's ability to generate extra yardage has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.18 rate last season.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.6%) to RBs this year (74.6%).
  • The Colts pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. RBs this year, giving up 5.29 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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