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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Jaylen Warren to earn 3.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a top-tier 11.0% Target% (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaylen Warren rates among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football.

Jaylen Warren ranks in the 78th percentile among RBs since the start of last season with a colossal 0.2% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

Jaylen Warren rates as one of the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 23.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

The New England Patriots defense has given up the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 26.0) vs. running backs since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the daunting New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a feeble 4.9 YAC.

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