My Account Log Out
 
 
Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • Jaylen Warren comes in as one of the top RB receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 17.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Jaylen Warren has notched a paltry -7.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 6th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jaylen Warren's 10.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 16.7.
  • Jaylen Warren's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.18 mark last season.
  • The Texans pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.3%) vs. running backs this year (78.3%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™