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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's game, Jaylen Warren is expected by the projections to land in the 80th percentile among running backs with 3.3 targets.
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Jaylen Warren grades out as one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 17.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.
  • Jaylen Warren's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 89.7% to 95.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.0 per game) this year.
  • In regards to air yards, Jaylen Warren ranks in just the 8th percentile among RBs this year, with just -6.0 per game.

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