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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to garner 3.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 9.8% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jaylen Warren ranks as one of the top RB receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 18.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.57 seconds per play given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a mere 46.3 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to air yards, Jaylen Warren ranks in just the 7th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.
  • Jaylen Warren's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.18 figure last season.

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