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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to garner 2.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Jaylen Warren ranks as one of the top RB receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 17.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to air yards, Jaylen Warren ranks in just the 8th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -5.0 per game.
  • Jaylen Warren's 11.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 16.7.
  • Jaylen Warren's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.18 figure last season.

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