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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 9.8% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • With an outstanding 18.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (85th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren has been as one of the best running backs in the pass game in football.
  • Jaylen Warren's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 89.6% to 96.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to air yards, Jaylen Warren ranks in the lowly 7th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.
  • Jaylen Warren's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a remarkable regression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 8.2% mark.

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