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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-112/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • This week, Jaylen Warren is projected by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.
  • With an impressive 10.6% Target Share (84th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Steelers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Jaylen Warren has notched a puny -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 22nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jaylen Warren's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects an impressive decline in his effectiveness in space over last year's 8.2% figure.

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