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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this contest, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.1 carries.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (66.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (25.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 8th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Packers safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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