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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the model to land in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.5 rush attempts.

Jaylen Warren has been a more important option in his team's ground game this season (69.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 39.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per snap.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Minnesota defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best DT corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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