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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Jaylen Warren to accrue 18.1 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

While Jaylen Warren has been responsible for 28.8% of his team's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more important option in Pittsburgh's running game in this week's game at 67.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New England's collection of DTs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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