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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • The projections expect Jaylen Warren to accrue 15.7 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his team's running game this season (58.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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