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Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+107/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.

The predictive model expects Jaylen Warren to accumulate 15.5 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Jaylen Warren has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this season (62.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (25.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 41.6% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.8 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins linebackers profile as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

More Jaylen Warren Player Props

Jaylen Warren CarriesPlayer Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 15