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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • This week, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.1 rush attempts.
  • After making up 25.6% of his offense's run game usage last season, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the running game this season, currently making up 63.2%.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 41.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

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