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Jaylen Warren
NFL · Player Props
Jaylen Warren
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Carries
Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2023 Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Jaylen Warren Carries

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-154/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +116.

Favors Over
  • The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Steelers to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this season (29.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (16.3%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Favors Under
  • The Steelers have been the 8th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 35.4% run rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
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