Jaylen Warren Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 5:36 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-169/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -169.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 46.8% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
After taking on 16.3% of his offense's run game usage last year, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the running game this year, now sitting at 33.2%.

Favors Under

The Steelers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.

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