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Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+192/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.

After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last season, Jaylen Waddle has seen a big uptick this season, now pacing 67.0 per game.

Jaylen Waddle's 52.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 43.8.

Jaylen Waddle's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 69.6% to 74.5%.

Jaylen Waddle grades out in the 87th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.43 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Dolphins have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 49.8 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

While Jaylen Waddle has received 31.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Miami's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 25.6%.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

Jaylen Waddle TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7