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Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-186).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -186.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (58.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.

Jaylen Waddle's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 69.6% to 76.8%.

With a remarkable rate of 0.40 per game through the air (87th percentile), Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to wide receivers this year.

The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 59.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 49.8 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Waddle to be a much smaller part of his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's contest (23.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (33.3% in games he has played).

After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last season, Jaylen Waddle has seen a big decrease this season, now pacing 50.0 per game.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

Jaylen Waddle TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5