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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -285 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.2% red zone pass rate.

Jaylen Waddle has been responsible for a colossal 25.3% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 81st percentile when it comes to WRs.

Jaylen Waddle's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 69.6% to 79.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Dolphins are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Jaylen Waddle has been given 3.2% of red zone carries since the start of last season (0th among wideouts).

In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Bills defense has allowed the 10th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the league to WRs: 0.95 per game since the start of last season.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

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