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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Dolphins, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (39.7 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, Jaylen Waddle is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 54.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dolphins to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 51.8 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Dolphins profiles as the worst in football this year.

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