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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this game, Jaylen Waddle is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.4 targets.

Jaylen Waddle's 52.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 43.8.

Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a fantastic 3.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.4 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.

This year, the strong Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed a meager 60.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

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