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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Waddle has played on 81.6% of his team's snaps this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

The predictive model expects Jaylen Waddle to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

With an excellent 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (76th percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle stands among the top WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

Jaylen Waddle's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 69.6% to 76.8%.

The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Miami Dolphins.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 59.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 49.8 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

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