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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • With a sizeable 80.8% Snap% (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Jaylen Waddle ranks among the running backs with the highest volume in the league.
  • The model projects Jaylen Waddle to accrue 7.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 3.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

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