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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Jaylen Waddle has played on 80.7% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
  • The projections expect Jaylen Waddle to total 7.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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