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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Jaylen Waddle to notch 8.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 63.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 43.8.
  • With a fantastic 4.0 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL.
  • The Jets linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.8 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

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