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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Jaylen Waddle to total 8.2 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 63.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 43.8.
  • Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 4.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.
  • This year, the deficient New Orleans Saints pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 67.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 9th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Saints, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.6 per game) this year.

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