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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

Jaylen Waddle has played on 81.5% of his team's snaps last year, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The leading projections forecast Jaylen Waddle to total 6.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.

The Colts pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.4%) to wideouts last year (70.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are anticipated by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the 10th-worst in football last year.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

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