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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • In this game, Jaylen Waddle is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.4 targets.
  • Jaylen Waddle has accrued far more air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (56.0 per game).
  • Jaylen Waddle's 52.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 43.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.4 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • Jaylen Waddle's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.88 figure last season.

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