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Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

This week, Jaylen Waddle is forecasted by the model to finish in the 91st percentile among WRs with 8.2 targets.

After totaling 56.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has posted big gains this year, now sitting at 84.0 per game.

Jaylen Waddle's 66.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 43.8.

With a remarkable 53.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (88th percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle rates among the top wide receivers in the league in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 124.5 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 51.9 per game on average).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the worst in the league this year.

Jaylen Waddle's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 69.6% to 64.6%.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

Jaylen Waddle Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17