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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Waddle to total 7.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jaylen Waddle has posted far more air yards this year (82.0 per game) than he did last year (56.0 per game).
  • Jaylen Waddle's 63.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.
  • Jaylen Waddle rates as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a fantastic 52.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 51.9 plays per game.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the worst in football this year.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 66.1% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a material regression in his receiving skills over last season's 69.6% mark.

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